The Contrarian

1. Early Life Forged a Contrarian Mindset

“Maybe I do always have this background program running where I’m trying to think of, ‘O.K., what’s the opposite of what you’re saying?’ and then I’ll try that,” he said shortly after the 2016 election.

A foreign perspective. Born in Germany and spending formative years in apartheid South Africa, Thiel experienced displacement and difference early on. His parents, deeply religious and conservative German immigrants, instilled a stern worldview and a sense of being outsiders in America, particularly in the liberal environment of Cleveland and later California. This background fostered an inherent skepticism towards prevailing norms.

Chess and control. From a young age, Thiel excelled at chess, a game demanding strategic foresight, pattern recognition, and the ability to anticipate opponents' moves. He preferred the role of dungeon master in Dungeons & Dragons, controlling the narrative and reality for others. These early interests highlight a desire for intellectual dominance and control, viewing interactions and systems as games to be mastered.

Early alienation. Moving frequently and possessing an intense, joyless demeanor, Thiel struggled to connect with peers. His intelligence and perceived superiority made him a target for mockery and bullying, particularly at San Mateo High School. This alienation, combined with his conservative upbringing in liberal environments, solidified a "Fuck you, world" attitude and a deep-seated victim complex that would shape his later political and business strategies.

2. Stanford Fueled Disillusionment and Culture Wars

“He viewed liberals through a lens as people who were not nice to him,” said a classmate.

Disappointment with the elite. Despite attending Stanford, a top-ranked university, Thiel found the environment disappointing and hostile. He expected intellectual rigor but encountered what he saw as silliness and political correctness. This fueled his conservative identity, viewing the university's liberal culture as a personal affront and a symbol of a broader societal decline.

Founding the Stanford Review. To combat the perceived liberal dominance, Thiel co-founded the Stanford Review, a conservative tabloid. This venture became his first entrepreneurial effort and a platform for provocative, often cruel, attacks on campus liberalism, multiculturalism, and perceived "political correctness." It also served as a networking hub for like-minded young conservatives who would later form the core of his professional network.

Embracing provocation. The Review's tactics, including defending a student who used homophobic slurs and publishing controversial pieces on sexual assault, were designed to shock and provoke. This early embrace of transgressive behavior and culture war tactics, influenced by figures like Dinesh D'Souza, became a hallmark of Thiel's approach, viewing conflict not just as a means to an end but as a way to define himself against the establishment.

3. PayPal: A Libertarian Vision Meets Growth Hacking

Governments “use inflation and sometimes wholesale currency devaluation . . . to take wealth away from their citizens.” PayPal would make that impossible.

Seeking a new frontier. After failed stints in law and finance, Thiel pivoted to the burgeoning tech industry, seeing it as a new frontier for wealth and influence. He invested in Max Levchin's idea for a digital currency on PalmPilots, which evolved into PayPal, driven by Thiel's vision of creating a new "world currency" that could erode the power of nation-states and free individuals from government control.

Aggressive growth tactics. PayPal achieved unprecedented user growth through aggressive "growth hacking" strategies, including paying users to sign up and refer friends ($10 per new user, $10 per referral). This rapid expansion, tracked by the "World Domination Index," prioritized market share over profitability and regulatory compliance, operating in "gray areas" of banking law.

Surviving the crash. Despite massive losses from fraud and marketing costs, PayPal survived the dot-com bust by focusing on the lucrative eBay market and implementing anti-fraud measures like the captcha. Thiel's leadership during this period, including navigating a contentious merger with Elon Musk's X.com and a coup to regain control, demonstrated a ruthless pragmatism focused on survival and eventual exit.

4. The PayPal Mafia: A Network Built on Loyalty

“Peter was brilliant in hiring people who recognized him as the leader and would not fight with him.”

A loyal core. Thiel surrounded himself with a tight-knit group of loyalists, many recruited from his Stanford Review days or early PayPal employees. This "PayPal Mafia" included future founders and investors like Elon Musk, Max Levchin, Reid Hoffman, David Sacks, and Keith Rabois, forming an informal network of interlocking relationships and shared experiences.

Prioritizing homogeneity. Despite Silicon Valley's self-proclaimed meritocracy, Thiel favored hiring people who fit a specific mold – often young, male, white, and politically conservative or libertarian. This homogeneity fostered loyalty and reduced internal conflict, ensuring Thiel's vision remained central to the company's culture and strategy.

Mutual support and influence. The Mafia members provided capital, advice, and connections for each other's ventures, collectively shaping the landscape of Silicon Valley. Thiel, as the network's patriarch, leveraged these relationships to extend his influence, backing companies like Facebook, SpaceX, LinkedIn, and Yelp, and ensuring his worldview permeated the industry.

5. Palantir: From Fraud Detection to State Surveillance

“If Jack Bauer had Palantir,” the shirts proclaimed, “they would have had to call the show 1.”

Capitalizing on crisis. After 9/11, Thiel saw an opportunity to adapt PayPal's anti-fraud technology for government use, founding Palantir. His vision was to mine vast government data troves to find terrorists, aligning with the Bush administration's post-9/11 surveillance push and the Patriot Act.

Selling state power. Despite initial technical challenges and privacy concerns, Palantir secured funding from the CIA's In-Q-Tel and cultivated allies within the military and government, including figures like John Poindexter and Michael Flynn. The company's software, Gotham, was marketed as a tool to "protect the Shire," promising to make sense of complex intelligence data and prevent future attacks.

Controversial tactics and clients. Palantir's pursuit of government contracts involved aggressive sales tactics, including providing free software to military units and cultivating controversial figures. The company faced scrutiny for its work with ICE, enabling deportations and family separations, and for its alleged involvement in the Cambridge Analytica scandal, highlighting the tension between its privacy-focused rhetoric and its role in state surveillance.

6. The Public Intellectual: Branding Rebellion and Disruption

“Education may be the only thing people still believe in in the United States,” he said. “To question education is really dangerous. It is the absolute taboo. It’s like telling the world there’s no Santa Claus.”

Crafting a new image. Following the struggles of his hedge fund and the Gawker outing, Thiel embarked on a deliberate effort to rebrand himself as a bold, risk-taking public intellectual. He cultivated journalists, published essays, and gave speeches promoting his contrarian views on technology, progress, and society.

Attacking higher education. A central theme of this rebrand was his critique of elite universities, which he argued were overpriced, intellectually stagnant, and bastions of political correctness. This culminated in the Thiel Fellowship, offering young people $100,000 to drop out of college and start companies, a project designed as much for marketing and provocation as for genuine philanthropy.

Spreading the gospel. Through his Stanford CS 183 class, the book Zero to One, and a network of loyalists who amplified his ideas online, Thiel cultivated a following of young, ambitious individuals drawn to his anti-establishment message. He positioned himself as a guru for a new generation of entrepreneurs, promising a path to wealth and influence outside traditional systems.

7. The Gawker War: A Secret Campaign for Revenge

“It’s the most philanthropic thing I’ve ever done,” he began telling friends.

Nursing a grudge. Thiel harbored a deep-seated resentment towards Gawker Media, particularly its Valleywag blog, which had mocked him, criticized his ventures, and outed him as gay. He viewed the site as embodying the worst aspects of liberal media elites and sought its destruction.

Funding a secret war. Working through intermediaries and shell companies, Thiel secretly funded lawsuits against Gawker, most notably the invasion of privacy suit brought by wrestler Hulk Hogan. This decade-long campaign aimed to financially cripple the media company through overwhelming legal pressure, demonstrating Thiel's willingness to use his wealth to silence critics.

Justifying the destruction. After being exposed as the backer, Thiel publicly framed his actions not as revenge but as a philanthropic act to rid the media landscape of a "bad actor." He argued that Gawker's practices, such as outing individuals and publishing private information, were beyond the pale of legitimate journalism, positioning himself as a defender of privacy and a necessary force against a "totalitarian" media.

8. The Political Project: Building a Far-Right Base

“I no longer believe that freedom and democracy are compatible,” Thiel wrote, arguing that the United States had been on a downward trajectory for most of the previous century.

Beyond libertarianism. Thiel's political views evolved beyond traditional libertarianism, embracing elements of neo-reactionary thought, including skepticism of democracy, multiculturalism, and globalization. He cultivated relationships with far-right figures and funded groups advocating for closed borders and reduced immigration.

Investing in Ron Paul. Thiel became a significant donor to Ron Paul's 2012 presidential campaign, not necessarily believing Paul could win, but seeing it as an opportunity to build a "libertarian base for the next cycle." He funded Super PACs and utilized unconventional marketing tactics, aiming to siphon off Paul's anti-establishment following.

Cultivating Trumpism. Recognizing the populist anger fueled by globalization and cultural shifts, Thiel saw potential in Donald Trump. He quietly supported Trump's campaign, viewing him as a disruptive force willing to challenge the "globalist elite" and political correctness. Thiel's eventual public endorsement and financial contributions provided crucial legitimacy to Trump within the business community.

9. The Trump Era: Influence, Profit, and Contradiction

“He’s the supporter for the tech side of things,” said a Thielverse member, summing up the general mood.

Access and appointments. With Trump's unexpected victory, Thiel gained unprecedented access and influence in Washington. He served on the transition team, recommending appointments aimed at disrupting the "administrative state." While many of his more radical suggestions were rejected, he successfully placed loyalists in key positions, particularly within the defense and technology sectors.

Profiting from the presidency. Thiel's companies, particularly Palantir and Anduril, benefited significantly from the Trump administration's priorities, securing lucrative government contracts related to national security, border control, and immigration enforcement. This period saw a dramatic increase in Thiel's wealth, fueled by the success of his portfolio companies and strategic positioning within the new political landscape.

Navigating contradictions. Thiel's support for Trump and his companies' involvement in controversial policies, such as family separation at the border, created tension with his public image and relationships within Silicon Valley. While some friends distanced themselves, Thiel largely maintained his network, demonstrating his ability to compartmentalize relationships and prioritize his strategic goals over ideological consistency or public perception.

10. The Ultimate Hedge: Power, Control, and Escape

“I’d rather be seen as evil than incompetent.”

Seeking backup plans. Thiel's life and career are marked by a consistent pursuit of hedges and backup plans. From hedging against eBay stock after selling PayPal to acquiring New Zealand citizenship as a potential escape from perceived threats in the U.S., he has sought to protect his wealth and influence from political and economic instability.

Control over companies. Thiel maintains significant control over his key ventures, even when not serving as CEO. Through carefully structured ownership stakes, board appointments, and loyalist networks, he ensures his vision and interests are prioritized, reflecting his preference for centralized power over democratic or decentralized models.

A legacy of disruption. Thiel's influence extends beyond his direct involvement in companies and politics. He has inspired a generation of entrepreneurs and political figures who embrace his contrarianism, disruption, and willingness to challenge norms. His legacy is intertwined with the rise of big tech, the erosion of privacy, and the increasing polarization of American society, leaving a complex and often contradictory mark on the world he sought to change.

Last updated: May 27, 2025