重点摘要
1. 10X公司在混乱中通过纪律化领导蓬勃发展
10X领导者表现出三种核心行为,这些行为的结合使他们与不太成功的对比公司领导者区别开来。
狂热的纪律是10X领导者的第一个核心行为。他们在行动中表现出坚定不移的一致性,严格遵循他们的价值观、目标和绩效标准。这种纪律不是对规则的僵化服从,而是一种内在驱动力,无论外部环境如何,都保持高标准。
实证创造力是第二种行为。10X领导者依靠直接观察、实际实验和具体证据来做出决策。他们不仅仅遵循传统智慧或权威人物。这种方法使他们能够在有效管理风险的同时做出大胆的举动。
富有成效的偏执是第三种行为。10X领导者保持高度警觉,始终为环境中的潜在威胁或变化做好准备。他们假设条件会对他们不利,并将恐惧转化为积极的准备和应急计划。
这些行为以对超越自身的事业的深厚热情和雄心为基础。10X领导者受到建立真正卓越事物的愿望驱动,专注于长期影响而非短期个人利益。
2. 20英里行军:在任何环境中保持一致的进步
在混乱的世界中蓬勃发展不仅仅是商业挑战。事实上,我们所有的工作本质上不是关于商业,而是关于区分伟大组织与优秀组织的原则。
一致的表现是长期成功的关键。20英里行军的概念,受到南极探险家罗尔德·阿蒙森的启发,强调设定和实现一致的绩效标志的重要性,无论外部条件如何。
这种方法包括:
- 设定明确、具体的绩效目标
- 在好坏时刻都保持纪律
- 保持在上限和下限的绩效范围内
- 创建自我施加的约束以防止过度扩张
成功的20英里行军的例子:
- 西南航空:连续30年实现盈利
- 进步保险:保持96%的综合比率
- 英特尔:遵循摩尔定律
20英里行军建立信心,减少外部因素的影响,并为一致的进步提供框架。它使公司能够在不确定的环境中蓬勃发展,专注于他们可以控制的事情,而不是受制于外部环境。
3. 先开枪,再开炮:在大赌注前进行实证验证
你甚至不需要自己开所有的枪;你可以从他人的实证经验中学习。
在投资前进行测试。 这一原则倡导进行小规模、低风险的投资(子弹)来测试想法,然后再投入大量资源(炮弹)。这是一种实证验证的方法,帮助公司在创新的同时管理风险。
开枪再开炮方法的关键组成部分:
- 开枪:进行小规模、低成本、低风险的测试
- 评估结果:确定哪些子弹命中目标
- 集中资源:在成功的子弹上投入大量资源
- 校准:确保炮弹基于实证验证
例子:
- 苹果开发iPod和iTunes
- 英特尔从内存芯片转向微处理器
这种方法使公司能够:
- 在未经验证的想法上不冒险地进行创新
- 从小失败中学习并在小成功的基础上发展
- 在保持核心优势的同时适应变化的市场
作者发现,10X公司不一定比竞争对手更具创新性,但他们更擅长扩大成功的创新并避免未经校准的大赌注。
4. 在死亡线之上领导:为最坏的情况做好准备,预期意外
通过接受各种可能的危险,他们将自己置于克服危险的优越位置。
富有成效的偏执是10X领导者的一个关键特征。他们在成功期间也不断预测和准备潜在的威胁。这种方法包括:
- 建立缓冲和安全边际
- 保持保守的现金储备
- 在关键系统中创建冗余
- 限制风险
- 避免可能摧毁公司的“死亡线”风险
- 将对不可控外部因素的暴露降到最低
- 先放大,再缩小
- 定期评估更广泛的环境以发现潜在威胁
- 快速集中资源解决已识别的风险
富有成效的偏执的例子:
- 英特尔的“只有偏执狂才能生存”哲学
- 西南航空的燃料对冲策略
10X领导者认识到并非所有时间都是平等的。他们为关键时刻做好充分准备,当表现最重要时,使他们能够比竞争对手更有效地抓住机会和应对危机。
5. SMaC配方:成功的具体、系统和一致的实践
你的世界越无情,你就越需要SMaC。
操作一致性在混乱环境中取得成功至关重要。SMaC(具体、系统和一致)配方是一套持久的操作实践,创造出可复制的成功公式。
良好SMaC配方的特征:
- 明确和具体的指导方针
- 长期持久(通常几十年)
- 针对特定企业和环境量身定制
- 包括要做和不做的事情
例子:
- 西南航空的10点操作模式
- 英特尔对摩尔定律的承诺
SMaC配方的关键不是僵化,而是经过仔细、实证验证的演变。10X公司在其核心实践中表现出显著的一致性,在长时间内仅改变约20%的SMaC配方,而对比公司则为60%。
要制定SMaC配方:
- 识别成功的实践
- 分析有效的原因
- 制定明确、可操作的指导方针
- 一致地应用配方
- 根据实证证据定期审查和仔细修改
6. 运气回报:利用好运和厄运
关键问题不是“你是否幸运?”而是“你能否从运气中获得高回报?”
运气发生在每个人身上。 研究发现,10X公司和对比公司都经历了相似数量的好运和厄运。区别在于他们如何利用运气。
关于运气的关键发现:
- 10X公司没有更多的好运或更少的厄运
- 单一的好运不能解释长期成功
- 好运和厄运都可以用于增长
高回报运气的策略:
- 识别运气事件发生时
- 快速评估是否根据运气事件调整计划
- 有效利用好运
- 将厄运转化为学习和改进机会
例子:
- 西南航空对9/11的反应
- 进步保险对加州103号提案的反应
10X领导者展示了以下能力:
- 在运气事件发生前做好准备
- 快速识别和响应运气事件
- 出色地执行以利用好运
- 从逆境中学习和成长
7. 五级雄心:坚定决心与个人谦逊的结合
10X领导者可以是平淡无奇或色彩斑斓的,无魅力或有磁性的,低调或张扬的,普通到乏味,或只是完全古怪——这些都不重要,只要他们对超越自身的事业充满激情。
无私的雄心是10X领导者的特征。他们拥有个人谦逊和专业意志的矛盾结合,将他们的自我和强度引导到建立超越自身的事业上。
五级领导者的关键属性:
- 坚定决心实现长期目标
- 对公司成功的承诺超过个人利益
- 愿意将成功归功于他人
- 对失败承担个人责任
例子:
- 西南航空的赫布·凯莱赫
- 英特尔的安迪·格罗夫
五级领导者通过以下方式建立持久的伟大:
- 为组织设定明确、雄心勃勃的目标
- 培养强大的领导团队
- 创建纪律和创新的文化
- 一致地应用10X领导原则
这种谦逊和决心的结合使10X公司能够超越竞争对手,并在面临重大挑战和干扰时实现持续卓越。
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Questions & Answers
What's Great by Choice about?
- Thriving in Chaos: Great by Choice explores why some companies succeed in uncertain and chaotic environments while others fail, emphasizing that success is not just about luck but disciplined choices.
- Research-Based Analysis: Authors Jim Collins and Morten T. Hansen conducted a nine-year research project, analyzing companies that achieved exceptional performance in turbulent times, known as "10Xers."
- Key Concepts: The book introduces concepts like the "20 Mile March," "Fire Bullets, Then Cannonballs," and "SMaC" (Specific, Methodical, and Consistent) recipes, which are frameworks for building resilient organizations.
Why should I read Great by Choice?
- Practical Frameworks: The book offers actionable frameworks and principles applicable to any organization, helping leaders navigate uncertainty and chaos effectively.
- Real-World Examples: It includes compelling case studies of successful companies like Southwest Airlines and Intel, illustrating how they implemented the principles discussed.
- Timeless Lessons: The insights are relevant for any organization facing unpredictability, making it a valuable read for leaders in various fields.
What are the key takeaways of Great by Choice?
- Productive Paranoia: Successful leaders maintain a state of productive paranoia, preparing for unexpected events and managing risks effectively.
- 20 Mile March Principle: Companies should set consistent performance markers and adhere to them, regardless of external pressures, to maintain stability and growth.
- Fire Bullets, Then Cannonballs: Organizations should test ideas with low-risk experiments before committing substantial resources, reducing the risk of failure.
What is the "20 Mile March" concept in Great by Choice?
- Consistent Performance Goals: The "20 Mile March" involves setting specific, achievable performance goals that an organization commits to meeting consistently over time.
- Self-Imposed Constraints: It includes establishing both a lower and upper bound to ensure sustainable growth, allowing organizations to weather storms without compromising core values.
- Examples of Success: Companies like Stryker and Southwest Airlines exemplified the 20 Mile March by achieving consistent growth and profitability, even during industry downturns.
How does Great by Choice define "SMaC"?
- Specific, Methodical, and Consistent: SMaC stands for a set of durable operating practices that create a replicable success formula, emphasizing clarity and consistency in decision-making.
- Enduring Practices: A SMaC recipe includes specific practices that guide an organization over time, allowing it to adapt while maintaining core principles.
- Examples from Companies: Southwest Airlines maintained its SMaC recipe through specific operational practices, ensuring long-term success despite external challenges.
What does "Fire Bullets, Then Cannonballs" mean in the context of Great by Choice?
- Empirical Testing: This concept encourages starting with low-cost, low-risk experiments (bullets) to test ideas before committing significant resources (cannonballs).
- Calibrated Decisions: Once a bullet proves successful, organizations can confidently allocate resources to a larger initiative, reducing the risk of failure.
- Real-World Application: Companies like Amgen used this approach by testing various products before launching their blockbuster drug, EPO.
How do luck and preparation interact in Great by Choice?
- Luck is Unpredictable: While luck plays a role in success, it is often the preparation and actions taken by leaders that determine how well an organization can capitalize on lucky breaks.
- Return on Luck: Successful companies do not necessarily have more luck but are better at leveraging the luck they encounter.
- Examples of Preparedness: Leaders like David Breashears illustrate how preparation and resilience can turn potentially disastrous situations into opportunities for success.
What role does "productive paranoia" play in leadership according to Great by Choice?
- Anticipating Change: Productive paranoia involves a heightened awareness of potential threats and uncertainties, prompting leaders to prepare for unexpected challenges.
- Building Buffers: Leaders create financial and operational buffers to withstand shocks, ensuring their organizations can endure turbulent times without collapsing.
- Examples of Success: Companies like Intel and Southwest Airlines exemplify this principle by maintaining conservative financial practices and preparing for potential disruptions.
What are some myths debunked in Great by Choice?
- Myth of Bold Visionaries: The book challenges the notion that successful leaders are bold, risk-seeking visionaries, finding that effective leaders are often disciplined and cautious.
- Innovation Isn't Everything: 10X companies are not necessarily more innovative than their less successful counterparts; they focus on executing well and scaling their innovations effectively.
- Speed Isn't Always Key: Rapid decision-making is not always beneficial; taking the time to make informed decisions can lead to better outcomes, especially in uncertain environments.
What is the concept of "Return on Luck" in Great by Choice?
- Luck as a Factor: "Return on Luck" (ROL) is the ability of organizations to capitalize on good luck and mitigate the impact of bad luck.
- 10X Companies vs. Comparisons: 10X companies excel in leveraging the luck they receive, demonstrating superior execution and decision-making.
- Key to Success: The critical question is not whether a company is lucky, but how effectively it can convert luck into positive outcomes.
How do the authors compare 10X companies to their counterparts?
- Matched Pairs Analysis: The authors use a matched-pair case study methodology, selecting pairs of companies similar in industry, size, and age but differing in performance outcomes.
- Key Differentiators: 10X companies are set apart by disciplined execution, effective risk management, and a strong organizational culture.
- Empirical Evidence: The findings are supported by extensive historical documentation and data analysis, providing a robust foundation for the conclusions drawn.
What are the best quotes from Great by Choice and what do they mean?
- “We simply do not know what the future holds.”: This quote underscores the book's central theme of uncertainty and the importance of preparing for the unpredictable.
- “The best—perhaps even the only—way to predict the future is to create it.”: This emphasizes the proactive approach leaders should take in shaping their organizations' destinies.
- “Victory awaits him who has everything in order—luck people call it.”: This highlights the relationship between preparation and luck, suggesting that success often comes to those who are well-prepared to seize opportunities.
评论
《选择成就卓越》探讨了为什么一些公司在不确定的时代中蓬勃发展,而另一些则失败。Collins和Hansen识别出成功的“10倍”公司的一些关键行为:狂热的纪律、实证的创造力和富有成效的偏执。书中强调了一贯的表现、数据驱动的决策以及为最坏情况做准备的重要性。尽管因其研究和见解受到赞誉,但一些读者认为它重复或不如Collins之前的作品具有突破性。许多人欣赏书中的历史例子和实用策略,尽管有少数人质疑其对非高管的适用性。总体而言,这本书被认为是商业领袖和企业家的宝贵读物。