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The Future of Violence

The Future of Violence

Robots and Germs, Hackers and Drones: Confronting A New Age of Threat
by Benjamin Wittes 2014 336 pages
3.40
100+ ratings
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Key Takeaways

1. Technologies of mass empowerment distribute both threats and vulnerabilities

"Today, each person needs to fear an exponentially higher number of people and entities than only a decade ago."

Democratization of power: Technologies like networked computers, biotechnology, and robotics are putting unprecedented capabilities in the hands of individuals and small groups. This allows more actors to potentially cause large-scale harm from anywhere in the world.

Increased vulnerability: The same technologies that empower also create new vulnerabilities. Critical infrastructure, financial systems, and even personal devices are increasingly connected and thus exposed to attack. Everyone from governments to corporations to individuals faces heightened risks.

Shifting threat landscape: The traditional focus on state-level threats is becoming outdated. Non-state actors, including lone individuals, can now pose strategic threats previously reserved for nation-states. This fundamentally alters how we must think about security and defense.

2. The social contract between states and citizens is shifting in the digital age

"We have not yet, as a society, figured out how to redesign the relationships between citizens and their governments, among governments internationally, or among people themselves for the provision of basic security and freedom in a technologically changing environment."

Rethinking state-citizen relations: The ability of individuals to both threaten and protect security challenges traditional notions of the state's role. Citizens may increasingly look to private entities or take personal action rather than relying solely on government protection.

Global interdependence: State security now depends heavily on what happens beyond borders. This creates pressure for both increased international cooperation and more assertive unilateral action by states to address threats originating in other countries.

New social bargains: Governments may demand more active participation from citizens and companies in security efforts. This could include expanded information sharing, technology design requirements, and new forms of public-private partnerships.

3. Privacy, liberty, and security exist in a complex symbiosis, not simple trade-offs

"In the hostile symbiosis between liberty and security, one does not maximize one partner at the other's expense. They are locked together—embracing, choking, supporting, and endangering each other."

Beyond balance: The common framing of liberty and security as opposing forces on a scale is overly simplistic. In many cases, enhancing security also increases meaningful liberty by creating safer spaces for free action.

Privacy reconsidered: Traditional notions of privacy struggle to capture the realities of a data-driven world. A more nuanced understanding is needed that accounts for both the benefits and risks of widespread data collection and use.

Contextual approach: Whether a security measure enhances or diminishes liberty depends heavily on specific circumstances. Factors like oversight, non-discrimination, and proportionality determine if surveillance of a platform is liberty-enhancing or oppressive.

4. Traditional notions of legal jurisdiction are challenged by borderless threats

"If anyone can attack anyone else from anywhere and our world is consequently becoming more Hobbesian, can the modern state keep us from the state of nature?"

Eroding boundaries: The ability to cause harm across borders with minimal physical presence challenges traditional ideas of state sovereignty and legal jurisdiction. This creates gaps in accountability and enforcement.

Blurred lines: The distinction between acts of crime and acts of war becomes less clear when individuals can launch attacks with strategic impact. This complicates how states respond to and classify threats.

Pressure for new frameworks: The limitations of current legal structures create pressure for new international agreements and norms. However, divergent state interests and the rapid pace of technological change make crafting effective global governance challenging.

5. Surveillance of platforms can enhance liberty when properly governed

"Platform surveillance only gets accepted when it is perceived to focus in a nondiscriminatory fashion on all platform users, not on specific categories of them—particularly not when those categories are suggestive of invidious discrimination or are not reasonably tailored to individuals who pose some high risk to the platform."

Security enables freedom: Just as policing public spaces can make them safer for use, some forms of digital surveillance can enhance the security and thus the freedom to use vital technological platforms.

Conditions for legitimacy:

  • Non-discriminatory application
  • Focus on platform integrity, not investigation
  • Proportional to genuine threats
  • Strong oversight mechanisms
  • Public understanding of necessity

Beyond privacy: The debate must move beyond simplistic privacy concerns to consider how surveillance can both threaten and protect individual interests in the digital age.

6. Domestic governance requires a multi-faceted approach beyond surveillance

"In the world of many-to-many threats and defenses, we are going to have to learn to think about national security as an area not all that different from the many others in which government seeks to push all people toward a safer, healthier environment."

Regulatory toolkit:

  • Direct regulation of individual conduct
  • Regulation of intermediaries and platforms
  • Risk allocation through liability rules
  • Standard-setting and architectural requirements
  • Incentives for security-enhancing innovation

Public-private collaboration: Government alone cannot secure critical infrastructure and platforms largely owned and operated by the private sector. New forms of partnership are essential.

Citizen engagement: An aware and motivated public is a powerful security asset. However, this also raises challenges in preventing vigilantism and maintaining the state's role in administering justice.

7. International cooperation and unilateralism will both increase to address global threats

"Both enhanced cooperation and increased unilateralism are already taking place alongside one another."

Push for global governance: The transnational nature of threats creates pressure for more robust international frameworks and institutions to coordinate responses and set common standards.

Limits of cooperation: Divergent state interests, enforcement challenges, and the need for rapid action in some cases will drive continued unilateral action by powerful states to address perceived threats.

Capacity building: Stronger states have incentives to help weaker ones improve governance and security capabilities, as vulnerabilities anywhere can threaten everyone in an interconnected world.

Evolving norms: New international norms and expectations around state responsibility for threats originating in their territory are likely to emerge, even in the absence of formal treaties.

Last updated:

FAQ

What's The Future of Violence about?

  • Exploration of Modern Threats: The book examines how advancements in technology, such as robotics, biotechnology, and cyber capabilities, have transformed the landscape of violence and security.
  • Shift in Power Dynamics: It discusses how power has shifted, making individuals and small groups potential threats to national security, complicating traditional governance.
  • Implications for Governance: The authors explore the implications of these changes for privacy, civil rights, and the role of the state in providing security.

Why should I read The Future of Violence?

  • Understanding New Realities: The book is essential for understanding the evolving nature of threats in our interconnected world.
  • Relevance to Current Events: With the rise of cyberattacks and bioterrorism, the themes are highly relevant to contemporary security discussions.
  • Thought-Provoking Analysis: It challenges conventional wisdom about security, privacy, and the role of the state, prompting readers to rethink their assumptions.

What are the key takeaways of The Future of Violence?

  • Democratization of Destructive Power: Modern technology allows individuals to wield destructive power previously reserved for states.
  • Blurred Lines of Accountability: Traditional distinctions between state and non-state actors are becoming less clear, complicating legal and moral frameworks.
  • Need for New Governance Models: Existing governance models must evolve to address many-to-many threats and defenses.

What specific technologies are discussed in The Future of Violence?

  • Biotechnology: The book discusses how advancements could enable individuals to create biological weapons, increasing bioterrorism threats.
  • Cybersecurity: It explores vulnerabilities introduced by networked computers and the rise of cyberattacks.
  • Robotics: The implications of robotics, particularly drones for surveillance and attacks, are examined.

How does The Future of Violence redefine the concept of security?

  • Expanded Definition of Threats: Security must now encompass a broader range of threats, including those posed by individuals and small groups.
  • Interconnected Vulnerabilities: Vulnerabilities are interconnected, with individuals, corporations, and states facing similar risks.
  • Role of Technology: Technology plays a critical role in both enhancing security and creating new vulnerabilities.

What challenges does The Future of Violence identify for governments?

  • Inability to Control New Threats: Governments struggle to control threats from non-state actors using advanced technologies.
  • Jurisdictional Issues: Traditional legal frameworks are inadequate for addressing the global nature of modern threats.
  • Need for Adaptation: Governments must adapt strategies and policies to respond to the evolving security landscape.

How does The Future of Violence address the relationship between privacy and security?

  • Privacy as a Security Concern: Privacy and security are intertwined, with breaches potentially leading to vulnerabilities.
  • Erosion of Privacy: Technological advancements have led to the erosion of privacy, raising questions about government roles.
  • Rethinking Legal Frameworks: The authors call for a reevaluation of legal frameworks governing privacy and security.

What implications does The Future of Violence have for international relations?

  • Changing Nature of Warfare: The rise of non-state actors and individual empowerment is changing warfare and international conflict.
  • Need for Global Cooperation: Addressing modern security challenges requires greater international cooperation and coordination.
  • Rethinking Sovereignty: Traditional sovereignty is challenged by global interconnectedness, suggesting states may need to cede authority.

How can individuals protect themselves in the context of The Future of Violence?

  • Awareness of Vulnerabilities: Individuals should understand how their data is collected and used, and take steps to protect privacy.
  • Utilizing Technology Wisely: Responsible use of technology, such as strong passwords and encryption, is encouraged.
  • Engaging in Collective Defense: Participation in collective defense efforts, like community watch programs, can enhance security.

How does The Future of Violence define "technologies of mass empowerment"?

  • Empowerment through Technology: These technologies significantly enhance individual capabilities, democratizing access to power.
  • Dual-use Nature: They can be used for both beneficial and harmful purposes, complicating regulatory efforts.
  • Need for Governance: Effective governance frameworks must be developed to manage risks while allowing for innovation.

What role does the state play in managing violence according to The Future of Violence?

  • Central Authority: The state is the primary entity responsible for maintaining order and security, often referred to as the "Leviathan."
  • Challenges of Adaptation: The state faces challenges in adapting to rapid technological changes, creating security gaps.
  • Balancing Act: A balance between security measures and civil liberties is necessary to maintain public trust and effective governance.

How does The Future of Violence suggest we build resilient systems?

  • Graceful Failure: Systems should be designed to absorb shocks and continue functioning rather than collapsing entirely.
  • Investment in Preparedness: Investing in preparedness measures, like training first responders, enhances resilience.
  • Collaborative Efforts: A collaborative approach between government, private sector, and citizens is advocated for a secure environment.

Review Summary

3.40 out of 5
Average of 100+ ratings from Goodreads and Amazon.

The Future of Violence received mixed reviews, with an average rating of 3.39 out of 5. Some readers found it thought-provoking and insightful, praising its examination of emerging technological threats and their implications for governance and security. Others criticized it as shallow, disorganized, or outdated. The book's strengths include its overview of potential future threats and analysis of the changing role of states in security. However, some reviewers felt it lacked depth, concrete solutions, or failed to meet expectations regarding its coverage of futuristic violence.

Your rating:
4.02
26 ratings

About the Author

Benjamin Wittes is a senior fellow at The Brookings Institution and co-founder of the Lawfare blog, focusing on national security and legal issues. He previously worked as an editorial writer for The Washington Post specializing in legal affairs. Wittes has published in various journals and magazines, contributing to discussions on governance and security. Born in 1969 in Boston, he graduated from Oberlin College in 1990. Wittes is known for his non-ideological approach to national security topics and has also earned a black belt in taekwondo, showcasing his diverse interests and accomplishments.

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