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The Deficit Myth

The Deficit Myth

Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People's Economy
作者 Stephanie Kelton 2020 327 页数
4.03
9k+ 评分
6 分钟

重点摘要

1. 政府不像家庭那样受收入限制

山姆大叔不需要先筹集美元再花钱。我们其他人则需要。

政府作为货币发行者。 与家庭或企业不同,联邦政府是货币的发行者,而不仅仅是使用者。这一根本区别意味着政府永远不会像家庭那样“用完钱”。

支出和税收的顺序。 实际上,政府先支出后征税。这由S(TAB)模型表示:先支出,再征税和借款。这与普遍认为的税收资助支出的观点相反。

政策的影响。 理解这一现实为解决社会需求开辟了新的可能性。我们不应问“我们如何支付?”,而应问“我们是否有实际资源来做这件事?”

2. 赤字本身并非坏事;通胀才是真正的限制

要证明过度支出,请看通胀。

重新定义财政责任。 赤字的规模本身并非好坏之分。重要的是对实际经济的影响,特别是通胀。

通胀是真正的限制。 政府的支出能力不受收入限制,而受经济生产商品和服务能力的限制。当支出超过经济的生产能力时,就会导致通胀。

政策的影响。 这种理解将重点从任意的赤字目标转移到管理实际经济结果上。这表明,政府支出往往有更多的空间,比传统智慧所允许的要多。

3. 国债不是对未来世代的负担

国债根本不构成任何财务负担。

重新定义国债。 我们所称的国债实际上是私人部门以政府证券形式的储蓄总和。这不是我们传递的负担,而是一种财富。

政府的独特地位。 与家庭不同,政府总能以自己的货币履行义务。它永远不会像希腊或其他非货币发行实体那样被迫违约。

政策的影响。 这种理解消除了以牺牲当前需求和未来投资为代价“偿还债务”的虚假紧迫感。

4. 政府赤字创造私人部门盈余

山姆大叔的赤字是我们的盈余!

部门平衡。 经济可以分为三个部门:政府、国内私人部门和外国部门。一个部门的赤字必须由其他部门的盈余来匹配。

政府赤字作为私人财富。 当政府出现赤字时,它是在向私人部门增加金融资产。这可以支持经济增长和私人储蓄。

政策的影响。 这种理解挑战了政府盈余总是可取的观念。事实上,政府盈余可能导致私人部门赤字和经济不稳定。

5. 贸易赤字并不总是对经济有害

美国的贸易赤字是其“物资”盈余。

重新定义贸易赤字。 贸易赤字意味着一个国家接收的实际商品和服务多于其输出的。在这个意义上,它可以被视为有利的。

全球货币动态。 美元作为全球储备货币的角色导致了持续的贸易赤字,但也为美国经济带来了显著的好处。

政策重点。 政策应关注确保充分就业和有利于工人和环境的公平贸易实践,而不是痴迷于贸易赤字。

6. 福利项目是财务上可持续的

只要联邦政府承诺支付,它总能负担这些项目。

财务与实际限制。 社会保障和医疗保险等项目的挑战不是财务可持续性,而是确保我们有实际资源(医疗服务提供者、商品、服务)来满足未来需求。

政治选择,而非财务必需。 对这些项目的任何削减或变更都是政治决定,而非财务必需。

政策的影响。 我们应计划确保有必要的实际资源来照顾老龄化人口,而不是关注信托基金会计。

7. 关注实际资源限制,而非货币限制

我们如何提供资源?

转变范式。 我们不应问“我们如何支付?”,而应问“我们是否有实际资源来做这件事?”这将注意力集中在对经济和社会真正重要的事情上。

实际限制。 真正的限制是熟练劳动力、原材料和生态限制。货币只是我们用来动员这些实际资源的工具。

政策的影响。 这种思维转变为解决紧迫的社会需求(从医疗到气候变化缓解)开辟了新的可能性。

8. 联邦就业保障可以稳定经济

就业保障是现代货币理论解决我们长期就业赤字的方案。

自动稳定器。 就业保障将作为一个强大的自动稳定器,在经济衰退期间扩展,在繁荣期间收缩。

超越就业的好处。 这样的项目可以解决未满足的社区需求,提供工资底线,并增强工人的谈判能力。

实施。 该项目将由联邦资助,但由地方管理,重点是创造服务社区需求的工作。

9. 现代货币理论(MMT)重新定义财政责任

现代货币理论赋予我们想象新政治和新经济的力量。

政策的新视角。 现代货币理论提供了一个理解现代货币系统实际运作的框架,挑战了关于政府财政的长期信念。

扩展的政策空间。 这种理解揭示了我们有更多的选择来解决社会需求,比传统经济学所建议的要多。

责任与限制。 现代货币理论并不提倡无限制的支出,而是更准确地理解真正的经济限制和可能性。

最后更新日期:

FAQ

What's The Deficit Myth about?

  • Introduction to MMT: The Deficit Myth by Stephanie Kelton introduces Modern Monetary Theory (MMT), which suggests that a government issuing its own currency can spend freely to meet societal needs without the risk of running out of money.
  • Debunking Deficit Myths: The book challenges the conventional belief that government deficits are inherently bad, arguing instead that they can be beneficial for economic growth and do not burden future generations.
  • New Economic Paradigm: Kelton advocates for a shift in fiscal policy focus from balancing budgets to achieving full employment and addressing real economic needs.

Why should I read The Deficit Myth?

  • Understanding Economic Realities: The book provides a clear explanation of how economies function under a fiat currency system, challenging conventional wisdom about government spending and deficits.
  • Practical Policy Implications: Kelton offers insights into how MMT can inform better policy decisions that prioritize public welfare, making it relevant for those interested in economic policy and social justice.
  • Accessible to All Readers: Complex economic concepts are presented in an engaging and understandable manner, making the book suitable for both economists and general readers.

What are the key takeaways of The Deficit Myth?

  • Deficits Are Not Bad: Kelton argues that federal deficits can stimulate economic growth and are not inherently harmful.
  • Government as Currency Issuer: The federal government can issue its own currency, meaning it can never run out of money like individuals or businesses.
  • Focus on Real Resources: The real limits to government spending are inflation and the availability of real resources, not financial constraints.

How does The Deficit Myth redefine our understanding of government spending?

  • Spending First, Then Taxing: Kelton explains that the government spends first and then taxes or borrows, reversing the common belief that it must collect money before spending.
  • Deficits as Economic Tools: Deficits should be viewed as tools for achieving economic goals, such as full employment and social welfare, rather than as financial burdens.
  • Inflation as the Real Constraint: The primary constraint on government spending is inflation, not the size of the deficit.

What are the best quotes from The Deficit Myth and what do they mean?

  • “The taxpayer...monetary universe.” This quote challenges the misconception that government spending depends on taxpayer money, highlighting MMT's view that the government can create its own currency.
  • “Deficits are necessary.” This encapsulates the book's core argument that deficits can be beneficial for economic health and are essential for funding public goods and services.
  • “We can’t use deficits...problem.” This quote underscores the need to shift our mindset away from viewing deficits negatively and instead focus on how they can address societal issues.

How does The Deficit Myth address the national debt?

  • National Debt Misconceptions: Kelton clarifies that the national debt is not a burden on future generations, as the government can always meet its obligations by issuing more currency.
  • Debt as Savings: The book reframes the national debt as a record of savings held by the private sector, rather than a liability.
  • Options for Managing Debt: Kelton discusses options like the central bank purchasing government bonds to effectively eliminate the debt without negative consequences.

What is the federal job guarantee proposed in The Deficit Myth?

  • Universal Employment Opportunity: The federal job guarantee would ensure that anyone who wants to work can find a job at a living wage.
  • Automatic Stabilizer for the Economy: It would act as an automatic stabilizer, expanding during downturns and contracting as the economy improves.
  • Focus on Community Needs: Jobs would be tailored to meet local community needs, fostering community engagement and empowerment.

How does The Deficit Myth suggest we view taxes?

  • Taxes as a Tool, Not a Source: Kelton emphasizes that taxes should manage inflation and redistribute wealth, not fund government spending.
  • Importance of Tax Policy: Tax policy should aim to achieve social and economic goals, such as reducing inequality and promoting public welfare.
  • Rethinking Tax Increases: Kelton warns against raising taxes simply to balance budgets, advocating for strategic tax policies that support economic growth.

What are the implications of The Deficit Myth for social programs like Social Security and Medicare?

  • Entitlements Are Sustainable: Kelton argues that programs like Social Security and Medicare are financially sustainable as long as the government commits to making the necessary payments.
  • Focus on Real Needs: The emphasis should be on ensuring these programs meet the real needs of the population, not on arbitrary budget constraints.
  • Political Will Over Financial Constraints: The real challenge lies in political will, urging lawmakers to prioritize citizens' needs over deficit concerns.

How does The Deficit Myth relate to current economic challenges?

  • Addressing Inequality: Kelton discusses how MMT can provide solutions to create a more equitable society by addressing the needs of marginalized communities.
  • Climate Change Solutions: The book argues that the government can invest in sustainable infrastructure and green jobs to mitigate climate change impacts.
  • Response to Economic Crises: Understanding MMT can help governments respond effectively to economic crises, such as recessions or pandemics.

What are the criticisms of The Deficit Myth and MMT?

  • Concerns About Inflation: Critics argue that MMT underestimates the risks of inflation associated with increased government spending.
  • Skepticism About Political Will: Some skeptics question whether lawmakers will effectively implement MMT principles due to political gridlock.
  • Debate Over Economic Models: The book has sparked debate among economists regarding the validity of MMT as a framework for understanding modern economies.

How can readers apply the concepts from The Deficit Myth in their own lives?

  • Advocacy for Policy Change: Readers can use insights from the book to advocate for policies promoting economic justice, such as a federal job guarantee.
  • Informed Voting Decisions: Understanding MMT principles can help voters make informed decisions about candidates and policies aligned with economic equity.
  • Community Engagement: Readers can get involved in community initiatives addressing local needs, helping build a more equitable economy from the ground up.

评论

4.03 满分 5
平均评分来自 9k+ 来自Goodreads和亚马逊的评分.

《赤字神话》收到了褒贬不一的评价,许多人称赞其对现代货币理论(MMT)的通俗解释及其改变经济思维的潜力。支持者赞赏凯尔顿对增加政府支出和工作保障的论点。批评者认为这本书过于简化复杂问题,忽视潜在风险,缺乏严谨的分析。一些人觉得书中的写作重复且语气说教。总体而言,读者一致认为这本书挑战了传统的经济智慧,但对其提议的有效性和实用性存在分歧。

Your rating:

关于作者

斯蒂芬妮·凯尔顿是一位著名经济学家和现代货币理论的主要倡导者。她目前在石溪大学担任教授,此前曾在密苏里大学堪萨斯城分校任教。凯尔顿的研究重点在于挑战传统的政府债务和支出观念,认为拥有主权货币的国家比普遍认为的具有更多的财政灵活性。她的观点在政治和经济界引起了广泛关注,特别是她倡导增加政府支出以解决社会和经济问题。凯尔顿还曾担任伯尼·桑德斯总统竞选活动的经济顾问。

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