The Future Is Asian

1. Asia's Historical Dominance and Re-emergence

For most of recorded history, Asia has been the most important region of the globe.

From Ancient Civilizations to Modern Ascendancy. Asia, for millennia, held the world's center stage, boasting advanced civilizations in Mesopotamia, the Indus Valley, and China. These societies pioneered agriculture, trade, and philosophical thought, laying the groundwork for global progress. However, Western powers rose to prominence with the Industrial Revolution, eclipsing Asia for two centuries.

The 21st Century: Asia's Return. The 21st century marks a turning point, with Asia re-emerging as a global leader. This resurgence is symbolized by the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), a massive infrastructure project connecting Asia, Europe, and Africa, conceived and led by Asians. This initiative signifies Asia's ambition to reshape global trade and cultural exchange.

A New World Order. Asia's re-emergence isn't about replacing the West but about establishing a multipolar world order. This order acknowledges the distinct strengths of the US, Europe, and Asia, each contributing to global stability and progress. Asia's rise is a structural shift, not a cyclical one, promising a future where the world is viewed from an Asian perspective.

2. Culture, Commerce, and Conflict: The Drivers of Asian Connectivity

The deep linkages between West and East underscore the need for a more balanced account of global history.

Intertwined Destinies. Asia's history is a tapestry woven with threads of culture, commerce, and conflict. These forces have shaped the region's diverse civilizations and fostered interconnectedness across vast distances. From the Silk Road to maritime trade routes, Asia's civilizations have engaged in constant exchange, influencing each other's languages, religions, and technologies.

Cultural Syncretism and Religious Tolerance. Asia's civilizations have demonstrated a remarkable capacity for cultural syncretism and religious tolerance. Buddhism, Confucianism, Hinduism, and Islam have coexisted and influenced each other, creating a rich tapestry of beliefs and practices. This tolerance has been a key factor in maintaining stability and fostering cooperation across the region.

Learning from the Past. Asia's history offers valuable lessons for the present and future. By understanding the forces that have shaped the region's past, Asians can navigate the challenges of the 21st century and build a more prosperous and interconnected future. This includes recognizing the dangers of internal conflict and the importance of maintaining stability to prevent exploitation by outside powers.

3. The Asianization of Russia and Turkey: A Geopolitical Shift

Russia is positioning itself as a pillar of the Asian system.

Embracing Asian Geography. Russia and Turkey, historically oriented towards Europe, are now recognizing their Asian geography and strategically pivoting eastward. This shift is driven by economic opportunities, geopolitical realities, and a desire to assert their influence in the emerging Asian system.

Russia's Pivot to the East. Facing Western sanctions and seeking new markets for its energy resources, Russia has forged closer ties with China and other Asian countries. This includes massive Chinese investments in Russian infrastructure and energy projects, as well as increased military cooperation.

Turkey's Neo-Ottoman Ambitions. Disillusioned with its stalled EU membership bid, Turkey is rediscovering its Turkic heritage and expanding its influence in Central Asia. This includes strengthening economic ties, promoting cultural exchange, and seeking membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO).

4. West Asia's Pivot East: Opportunities Amidst Instability

Asians don’t want to play by outsiders’ rules.

Navigating a Turbulent Region. West Asia, plagued by conflict and instability, is also experiencing a shift towards Asia. This is driven by the region's growing economic ties with Asian powers, as well as a desire to reduce dependence on the West.

Economic Reorientation. Gulf states are increasingly trading with Asia, particularly East Asia, which is a major consumer of their oil and gas. This has led to increased investment and infrastructure development in the region, as well as a growing presence of Asian businesses and workers.

Strategic Partnerships. Countries like Saudi Arabia and Iran are also forging strategic partnerships with Asian powers, particularly China, to balance against Western influence and secure their interests in the region. This includes arms deals, joint military exercises, and cooperation on regional security issues.

5. Southeast Asia's Rise: Beyond China's Shadow

Despite its vast geography and cultural diversity, Asia is evolving from faint historical and cultural linkages to robust economic interdependence to strategic coordination.

A Dynamic and Diverse Region. Southeast Asia, a region of diverse cultures and economies, is emerging as a key player in the Asian system. This is driven by its strategic location, abundant resources, and growing middle class.

Economic Integration and Investment. Southeast Asian countries are actively promoting economic integration through ASEAN and other regional initiatives. They are also attracting significant foreign investment, particularly from Japan, South Korea, and China, which are seeking to diversify their supply chains and access new markets.

Balancing Act. While embracing economic opportunities with China, Southeast Asian countries are also wary of its growing influence and are seeking to maintain their strategic autonomy. This includes strengthening ties with other powers, such as India, Japan, and the United States, and promoting regional cooperation through ASEAN.

6. The Asianization of the Americas: A Demographic and Cultural Transformation

In the twenty-first century, Asianization is emerging as the newest sedimentary layer in the geology of global civilization.

A Growing Asian Presence. The Americas, particularly the United States and Canada, are experiencing a significant demographic shift with the growing presence of Asian immigrants. This has led to increased cultural exchange, economic integration, and political influence.

Economic Contributions. Asian Americans are making significant contributions to the US economy, particularly in technology, finance, and entrepreneurship. They also have high levels of education and income, and are increasingly active in politics and civic life.

Cultural Influence. Asian culture is also becoming more prominent in the Americas, with the growing popularity of Asian cuisine, music, and fashion. This has led to a greater understanding and appreciation of Asian traditions and values.

7. Technocratic Governance: Asia's Alternative to Western Democracy

It is for the people of Asia to run the affairs of Asia, solve the problems of Asia, and uphold the security of Asia.

A Different Approach to Governance. While democracy is widespread in Asia, many countries are also embracing technocratic governance, which emphasizes expertise, efficiency, and long-term planning. This approach prioritizes economic development, social stability, and national unity.

Singapore as a Model. Singapore, with its strong emphasis on meritocracy, pragmatism, and long-term planning, is often cited as a model for technocratic governance. Other Asian countries, such as China, Vietnam, and the Gulf states, are also adopting elements of this approach.

Balancing Act. While technocratic governance can be effective in achieving economic and social goals, it also raises concerns about political freedom and human rights. The challenge for Asian countries is to find a balance between technocratic efficiency and democratic values.

8. Asia's Global Influence: Shaping a Multipolar World

Asia is not replacing the United States or the West—but it is now shaping them as much as they have shaped it.

A New Era of Global Influence. Asia's rise is not just a regional phenomenon but a global one. Asian countries are increasingly shaping the world's economy, politics, and culture.

Economic Powerhouse. Asia is now the world's largest economic zone, accounting for a significant share of global GDP, trade, and investment. This economic power gives Asia greater influence in international institutions and negotiations.

Cultural Exports. Asian culture is also gaining global popularity, with the rise of K-pop, Bollywood, and Asian cuisine. This cultural influence is helping to shape global tastes and values.

Last updated: February 22, 2025