Searching...
简体中文
EnglishEnglish
EspañolSpanish
简体中文Chinese
FrançaisFrench
DeutschGerman
日本語Japanese
PortuguêsPortuguese
ItalianoItalian
한국어Korean
РусскийRussian
NederlandsDutch
العربيةArabic
PolskiPolish
हिन्दीHindi
Tiếng ViệtVietnamese
SvenskaSwedish
ΕλληνικάGreek
TürkçeTurkish
ไทยThai
ČeštinaCzech
RomânăRomanian
MagyarHungarian
УкраїнськаUkrainian
Bahasa IndonesiaIndonesian
DanskDanish
SuomiFinnish
БългарскиBulgarian
עבריתHebrew
NorskNorwegian
HrvatskiCroatian
CatalàCatalan
SlovenčinaSlovak
LietuviųLithuanian
SlovenščinaSlovenian
СрпскиSerbian
EestiEstonian
LatviešuLatvian
فارسیPersian
മലയാളംMalayalam
தமிழ்Tamil
اردوUrdu
Way of the Turtle

Way of the Turtle

The Secret Methods That Turned Ordinary People Into Legendary Traders
作者 Curtis Faith 2007 288 页数
3.83
2.4K 评分
Try Full Access for 7 Days
Unlock listening & more!
Continue

重点摘要

1. 利用优势交易:抓住市场低效与认知偏差

“海龟交易者整体看待过去,不会特别强调近期事件。”

认知偏差创造机会。 交易者通过识别并利用市场参与者常见的心理倾向,可以获得交易优势。这些偏差包括近期效应(过度重视近期事件)、损失厌恶(对损失的恐惧超过同等收益)以及处置效应(亏损仓位持有过久,盈利仓位过早卖出)。

趋势跟随利用低效。 海龟交易系统主要利用了动量效应和趋势持续时间往往超出大多数人预期的特点。通过简单的突破规则和加仓获胜头寸,海龟们能够捕捉多市场中的大趋势。

  • 关键可利用偏差:
    • 近期效应
    • 损失厌恶
    • 锚定效应
    • 羊群效应
  • 海龟优势:比他人更长时间地顺势而为

2. 风险管理:控制仓位规模并分散投资市场

“如果你不关注风险,风险就会盯上你。”

仓位规模至关重要。 海龟们采用了基于波动率的复杂仓位规模系统,使得不同市场的风险得以标准化。无论标的资产价格或波动率如何,他们都能以相似风险规模下注。

分散投资提升收益。 通过交易多种不相关市场,海龟们平滑了收益曲线,减少了单一市场回撤的影响。同时,他们严格限制相关市场的敞口和整体方向性风险。

  • 海龟仓位管理:
    • 基于平均真实波幅(ATR)
    • 跨市场波动率标准化
    • 限制相关市场敞口
  • 分散投资好处:
    • 收益曲线更平滑
    • 降低单一市场回撤影响
    • 增加盈利机会

3. 保持一致:严格遵循系统实现长期成功

“优秀的交易不是关于正确,而是关于正确地交易。”

一致性是长期成功的关键。 表现最好的海龟交易者是在回撤或表现不佳时依然严格遵守规则的人。即使看似有合理理由,偏离系统通常导致更差结果。

机械化系统消除情绪。 遵循明确规则可以避免许多导致错误决策的心理陷阱,从而实现更稳定的执行,并能更长时间持有盈利头寸。

  • 一致性的好处:
    • 捕捉罕见但巨大的盈利交易
    • 消除情绪化决策
    • 正确评估系统表现
  • 不一致的风险:
    • 错失驱动年度收益的关键交易
    • 无法区分系统缺陷与执行失误
    • 情绪反应导致更大亏损

4. 保持简单:复杂系统易过拟合且易失败

“我们的核心方法很简单:捕捉每一个趋势。”

简单带来稳健。 海龟交易规则出人意料地简单,主要基于突破和趋势跟随。这种简单性使系统更稳健,不易因市场环境变化而失效。

避免过拟合。 复杂系统往往针对历史数据“曲线拟合”,在实际应用中表现不佳。海龟们专注于少数跨市场、跨时间框架有效的关键原则,打造了更具适应性的策略。

  • 简单系统优势:
    • 更能适应市场变化
    • 易于理解和持续执行
    • 减少过拟合风险
  • 复杂系统风险:
    • 曲线拟合风险增加
    • 执行难度加大
    • 虚假的精确感

5. 用概率思维:关注长期期望值,而非单笔交易

“海龟不在乎是否正确,他们关心的是赚钱。”

接受不确定性。 成功交易者明白无法准确预测未来,而是专注于多笔交易中具有正期望值的策略,接受单笔交易可能亏损。

避免结果偏差。 海龟们被教导根据是否遵守规则来评估交易,而非单笔交易结果。这种心态使他们能在必然的亏损期坚持盈利系统。

  • 关键概率概念:
    • 正期望值
    • 大数定律
    • 盈亏随机分布
  • 心理益处:
    • 减少对单笔交易的情绪依赖
    • 承受回撤能力增强
    • 专注长期结果

6. 掌控心理:克服认知偏差与情绪反应

“人类情绪既是交易机会的源泉,也是最大挑战。”

识别自身偏差。 成功交易者了解自己的心理倾向并努力克服,包括克服持有亏损仓位过久和过早卖出盈利仓位的自然倾向。

培养情绪纪律。 即使系统与直觉或情绪相悖,仍能坚持执行,是长期成功的关键。这通常需要练习和有意识地克服自然心理反应。

  • 常见心理挑战:
    • 害怕错过机会(FOMO)
    • 不愿承认错误
    • 连胜后的过度自信
  • 改进策略:
    • 冥想与正念练习
    • 详细交易日志
    • 定期复盘与自我评估

7. 接纳失败:从亏损中学习,完善系统

“只要坚持,你会越来越接近目标,或发现更重要的目标。”

亏损不可避免。 即使是最成功的交易系统也会频繁亏损。海龟们明白亏损是过程的一部分,不代表个人失败。

将亏损视为学习机会。 通过分析亏损交易和回撤,交易者能不断优化系统,加深对市场行为的理解。失败中的学习是长期成长的关键。

  • 健康亏损观:
    • 视为经营成本
    • 用于测试和完善系统
    • 认识到大回撤是正常现象
  • 学习方法:
    • 详细交易后分析
    • 定期系统复盘与优化
    • 研究导致亏损的市场环境

8. 适应市场变化:识别环境转变并及时调整

“市场由充满希望、恐惧和弱点的个体组成。”

市场不断演变。 海龟们认识到市场条件和行为可能发生剧烈变化。成功交易者必须能识别这些变化并相应调整策略。

保持灵活性。 虽然一致性重要,但盲目遵循已失效的系统可能带来灾难。最佳交易者在坚持规则与识别根本变化之间找到平衡。

  • 市场变化信号:
    • 市场间相关性增加
    • 波动率环境变化
    • 历史关系失效
  • 适应策略:
    • 定期评估系统表现
    • 引入新市场或工具
    • 调整仓位规模和风险参数

9. 策略多元化:结合不相关系统提升稳健表现

“稳健的交易体系基于无法预测实际交易中遇到的具体市场环境。”

无一策略永远有效。 通过结合多种不相关交易方法,交易者能平滑收益,减少单一系统回撤影响。

利用不同市场低效。 不同策略在不同市场环境下表现优异。通过趋势跟随、均值回归、波动率交易等多策略组合,交易者能捕捉更广泛的盈利机会。

  • 策略多元化优势:
    • 收益曲线更平滑
    • 最大回撤降低
    • 总体收益更稳定
  • 互补策略示例:
    • 长期趋势跟随 + 短期均值回归
    • 系统化 + 自由裁量
    • 基本面 + 技术面分析

10. 注重执行:入场不如仓位和风险管理重要

“海龟法则之所以有效,是因为它基于每个人内在系统性且反复出现的非理性行为所驱动的市场波动。”

入场信号被高估。 许多交易者过分追求完美入场,但海龟们证明,简单的突破入场配合合理风险管理和仓位控制同样能带来丰厚利润。

风险管理驱动收益。 海龟成功很大程度上源于其复杂的仓位规模和风险控制方法,既最大化盈利交易利润,又限制亏损。

  • 良好执行关键:
    • 规则持续执行
    • 基于波动率的合理仓位
    • 使用止损限制亏损
  • 新手常过度关注:
    • 复杂入场信号
    • 预测短期价格走势
    • 频繁交易或过度交易

11. 持续学习与改进:研究市场,完善方法,保持谦逊

“我认为不那么渴望赚钱反而更容易赚大钱。”

市场永远在变。 成功交易者永不止步于学习和适应。他们研究市场历史,分析自身表现,乐于接受新思想和方法。

保持求知欲。 最佳交易者往往是贪婪的读者和学习者,不断拓展对市场、心理和风险管理的理解。持续改进的心态是长期成功的基石。

  • 持续学习领域:
    • 市场历史与行为
    • 交易心理与决策
    • 风险管理与组合理论
  • 改进方法:
    • 定期绩效复盘与分析
    • 学习其他成功交易者和系统
    • 小规模试验新思路

最后更新日期:

Want to read the full book?

FAQ

What's Way of the Turtle about?

  • Turtle Trading Experiment: The book recounts the Turtle trading experiment by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt, which aimed to prove that trading can be taught. Curtis Faith shares his experiences as one of the Turtles.
  • Trading Psychology: It emphasizes the importance of trading psychology, illustrating how emotional factors can impact trading decisions and create opportunities for those who understand them.
  • Practical Strategies: The book provides practical trading strategies, including trend-following methods and risk management techniques, serving as both a memoir and a guide for traders.

Why should I read Way of the Turtle?

  • Learn from Success: Gain insights from successful traders who made millions using systematic approaches, helping you avoid common pitfalls.
  • Understand Trading Psychology: Delve into the psychological aspects of trading, crucial for managing emotions and biases for long-term success.
  • Actionable Strategies: Offers actionable trading strategies based on proven principles, which you can implement in your own trading.

What are the key takeaways of Way of the Turtle?

  • Trading with an Edge: Emphasizes the importance of having a systematic advantage over the market to avoid long-term losses.
  • Risk Management: Highlights the significance of risk management and controlling the risk of ruin for trading longevity.
  • Psychological Resilience: Stresses the importance of sticking to a trading plan despite losses, focusing on long-term success.

What is the Turtle Trading System?

  • Complete System: A comprehensive approach including rules for market selection, position sizing, entries, exits, and risk management.
  • Breakout Strategy: Uses breakout strategies based on Donchian channels, initiating trades when prices exceed certain historical highs or lows.
  • Volatility-Based Sizing: Employs a unique method of position sizing based on market volatility to manage risk effectively.

How does the Turtle Trading System manage risk?

  • Position Sizing: Uses a volatility-based algorithm to adjust the number of contracts traded, ensuring consistent risk exposure.
  • Stop Losses: Implements strict stop-loss rules to exit losing positions at predefined levels, preventing significant drawdowns.
  • Diversification: Encourages diversification across multiple markets to spread risk and increase the chances of capturing profitable trends.

How does Way of the Turtle address trading psychology?

  • Cognitive Biases: Discusses biases like loss aversion and recency bias, helping traders make more rational decisions.
  • Emotional Management: Emphasizes managing emotions during drawdowns, detaching self-worth from individual trade outcomes.
  • Long-Term Focus: Encourages focusing on overall system performance rather than short-term fluctuations for psychological resilience.

What are the best quotes from Way of the Turtle and what do they mean?

  • "Good trading is not about being right, it is about trading right.": Highlights the importance of disciplined process over market prediction accuracy.
  • "Ruin is the risk you should be concerned with the most.": Stresses the critical nature of managing risk to preserve capital for long-term success.
  • "Keep it simple. Simple time-tested methods that are well executed will beat fancy complicated methods every time.": Advocates for simplicity in trading strategies, suggesting effective execution of straightforward methods.

What is the significance of the N factor in the Turtle Trading System?

  • Volatility Measurement: Represents the average true range of a market, helping determine position size based on volatility.
  • Risk Control: Ensures consistent risk per trade, allowing better management of overall portfolio risk.
  • Dynamic Adjustments: Recalculated regularly, allowing traders to adjust position sizes based on current market conditions.

How can I apply the Turtle trading principles to my own trading?

  • Systematic Approach: Implement a systematic approach with clear rules for entry and exit to eliminate emotional decision-making.
  • Risk Management: Prioritize risk management by determining position sizes based on volatility and setting stop-loss orders.
  • Psychological Discipline: Focus on long-term results, develop resilience to handle drawdowns, and stay committed to your trading plan.

What are the specific trading systems discussed in Way of the Turtle?

  • ATR Channel Breakout: Uses Average True Range to create volatility channels for entry and exit signals, capitalizing on price movements.
  • Bollinger Breakout: Employs Bollinger Bands to identify breakout opportunities, capturing trends as they develop.
  • Donchian Trend System: Combines breakout signals with trend filters to determine trade entries and exits, focusing on following established trends.

What are the psychological challenges faced by traders according to Way of the Turtle?

  • Ego Management: Traders struggle with egos, leading to poor decision-making; the book emphasizes humility and self-awareness.
  • Fear of Loss: Fear of losing money can cause deviation from systems, leading to inconsistent performance; accepting losses is crucial.
  • Cognitive Biases: Discusses biases like loss aversion and the bandwagon effect, highlighting the importance of recognizing and mitigating them.

How does Way of the Turtle address the concept of backtesting?

  • Importance of Backtesting: Crucial for validating trading strategies, allowing understanding of potential performance before risking real capital.
  • Discrepancies in Results: Highlights common discrepancies between backtested results and actual performance, emphasizing robust testing methods.
  • Monte Carlo Simulations: Discusses using simulations to assess system robustness, providing insights into potential future performance based on historical data.

评论

3.83 满分 5
平均评分来自 2.4K 来自Goodreads和亚马逊的评分.

《海龟交易法则》评价褒贬不一,平均评分为3.83分(满分5分)。读者普遍认可书中对趋势跟踪、风险管理及交易心理的深刻见解。许多人认为本书在回测和系统开发的讲解上颇具价值。然而,也有部分读者批评书中缺乏具体的交易策略和作者本人海龟交易经历的亲身故事。该书因文字清晰、内容全面而受到赞赏,但部分读者认为其在揭示海龟交易秘诀方面未能达到预期。整体来看,这些评价共同构成了对本书的多维度反馈。

Your rating:
4.39
133 评分

关于作者

柯蒂斯·费斯因作为“海龟交易法”团队成员而声名鹊起。该团队是芝加哥一支精英交易小组,成立之初旨在验证成功交易者是天生还是后天培养。作为团队中最年轻且最成功的成员之一,费斯在二十出头时便凭借团队的交易方法赚取了丰厚利润。随后,他撰写了畅销书《海龟之道》,详述了自己在实验中的经历与心得。费斯具备编程背景,且以分析思维进行交易,这些因素共同促成了他的成功。他的著作融合了个人经验与金融市场及交易策略的专业知识,成为众多有志交易者的重要参考资料。

Listen
Now playing
Way of the Turtle
0:00
-0:00
Now playing
Way of the Turtle
0:00
-0:00
1x
Voice
Speed
Dan
Andrew
Michelle
Lauren
1.0×
+
200 words per minute
Queue
Home
Swipe
Library
Get App
Create a free account to unlock:
Recommendations: Personalized for you
Requests: Request new book summaries
Bookmarks: Save your favorite books
History: Revisit books later
Ratings: Rate books & see your ratings
250,000+ readers
Try Full Access for 7 Days
Listen, bookmark, and more
Compare Features Free Pro
📖 Read Summaries
Read unlimited summaries. Free users get 3 per month
🎧 Listen to Summaries
Listen to unlimited summaries in 40 languages
❤️ Unlimited Bookmarks
Free users are limited to 4
📜 Unlimited History
Free users are limited to 4
📥 Unlimited Downloads
Free users are limited to 1
Risk-Free Timeline
Today: Get Instant Access
Listen to full summaries of 73,530 books. That's 12,000+ hours of audio!
Day 4: Trial Reminder
We'll send you a notification that your trial is ending soon.
Day 7: Your subscription begins
You'll be charged on Aug 31,
cancel anytime before.
Consume 2.8x More Books
2.8x more books Listening Reading
Our users love us
250,000+ readers
"...I can 10x the number of books I can read..."
"...exceptionally accurate, engaging, and beautifully presented..."
"...better than any amazon review when I'm making a book-buying decision..."
Save 62%
Yearly
$119.88 $44.99/year
$3.75/mo
Monthly
$9.99/mo
Start a 7-Day Free Trial
7 days free, then $44.99/year. Cancel anytime.
Scanner
Find a barcode to scan

38% OFF
DISCOUNT FOR YOU
$79.99
$49.99/year
only $4.16 per month
Continue
2 taps to start, super easy to cancel
Settings
General
Widget
Loading...