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The Fourth Turning Is Here
by Neil Howe • 2023
An 80-year cycle pushes America toward a 2030 crisis. The last two ended in total war.
3.93
3k+
The Fourth Turning Is Here Summary
The Fourth Turning Is Here 91%
An 80-year cycle pushes America toward a 2030 crisis. The last two ended in total war.
by Neil Howe 2023
3.93
3k+ ratings
The Fourth Turning
by William Strauss • 1996
America's history runs on an 80-year cycle of four social seasons. The crisis season has begun.
3.87
8k+
The Fourth Turning Summary
The Fourth Turning 91%
America's history runs on an 80-year cycle of four social seasons. The crisis season has begun.
by William Strauss 1996
3.87
8k+ ratings
The Great Powers and Global Struggle, 1490-1990
by Karen Rasler • 2009
Five centuries of war follow one pattern: maritime innovators rise, then fall to land powers.
4.00
3
The Great Powers and Global Struggle, 1490-1990 Summary
The Great Powers and Global Struggle, 1490-1990 90%
Five centuries of war follow one pattern: maritime innovators rise, then fall to land powers.
by Karen Rasler 2009
4.00
3 ratings
The Storm Before the Calm
by George Friedman • 2020
Every eighty years America's government breaks; every fifty, its economy. Now both arrive at once.
4.05
3k+
The Storm Before the Calm Summary
The Storm Before the Calm 90%
Every eighty years America's government breaks; every fifty, its economy. Now both arrive at once.
by George Friedman 2020
4.05
3k+ ratings
Pendulum
by Roy H. Williams • 2012
The values of an entire society reverse every 40 years. The last reversal began in 2003.
3.71
411
Pendulum Summary
Pendulum 90%
The values of an entire society reverse every 40 years. The last reversal began in 2003.
by Roy H. Williams 2012
3.71
411 ratings
War and Change in World Politics
by Robert Gilpin • 1999
International order never lasts. Uneven growth among states eventually demands a reset by war.
3.97
362
War and Change in World Politics Summary
War and Change in World Politics 89%
International order never lasts. Uneven growth among states eventually demands a reset by war.
by Robert Gilpin 1999
3.97
362 ratings
The History of the Ancient World
by Susan Wise Bauer • 2007
The recurring patterns that built and then quietly destroyed ancient civs from Sumer to Rome.
4.11
7k+
The History of the Ancient World Summary
The History of the Ancient World 89%
The recurring patterns that built and then quietly destroyed ancient civs from Sumer to Rome.
by Susan Wise Bauer 2007
4.11
7k+ ratings
A Study of History, abridged
by Arnold Joseph Toynbee • 1957
History's real units are civilizations, not nations. Their collapses conceal a spiritual purpose.
4.10
224
A Study of History, abridged Summary
A Study of History, abridged 89%
History's real units are civilizations, not nations. Their collapses conceal a spiritual purpose.
by Arnold Joseph Toynbee 1957
4.10
224 ratings
End Times
by Peter Turchin • 2023
Ten millennia of data point to two conditions for state collapse. America now meets both.
4.06
3k+
End Times Summary
End Times 89%
Ten millennia of data point to two conditions for state collapse. America now meets both.
by Peter Turchin 2023
4.06
3k+ ratings
The Lessons of History
by Will Durant • 1968
What forty centuries of history reveal: cycles, geography's grip, and the unchanging human drives.
4.05
21k+
The Lessons of History Summary
The Lessons of History 89%
What forty centuries of history reveal: cycles, geography's grip, and the unchanging human drives.
by Will Durant 1968
4.05
21k+ ratings
War! What Is It Good For?
by Ian Morris • 2014
Ten thousand years of war made the world ten times safer. The paradox behind that claim.
3.95
2k+
War! What Is It Good For? Summary
War! What Is It Good For? 89%
Ten thousand years of war made the world ten times safer. The paradox behind that claim.
by Ian Morris 2014
3.95
2k+ ratings
Waste Land
by Robert D. Kaplan • 2025
When crises travel instantly but solutions stall at borders, we get one unending emergency.
3.60
972
Waste Land Summary
Waste Land 89%
When crises travel instantly but solutions stall at borders, we get one unending emergency.
by Robert D. Kaplan 2025
3.60
972 ratings
The World in 2050
by Hamish McRae • 2022
A handful of 1960s birth rates already chose the superpowers of 2050.
3.62
342
The World in 2050 Summary
The World in 2050 89%
A handful of 1960s birth rates already chose the superpowers of 2050.
by Hamish McRae 2022
3.62
342 ratings
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order
by Ray Dalio • 2021
Empires die on schedule: debt, division, rival. The sequence is repeating now.
4.27
18k+
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order Summary
Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order 89%
Empires die on schedule: debt, division, rival. The sequence is repeating now.
by Ray Dalio 2021
4.27
18k+ ratings
The Shortest History of Germany
by James Hawes • 2017
Behind the 20th century’s disasters stands a hidden network of financiers and imperial idealists.
3.70
9k+
The Shortest History of Germany Summary
The Shortest History of Germany 89%
Behind the 20th century’s disasters stands a hidden network of financiers and imperial idealists.
by James Hawes 2017
3.70
9k+ ratings
A Study of History, Abridgement of Vols 1-6
by Arnold Joseph Toynbee • 1987
History's pattern: empires die, and their true heirs are the churches they tried to crush.
4.11
543
A Study of History, Abridgement of Vols 1-6 Summary
A Study of History, Abridgement of Vols 1-6 89%
History's pattern: empires die, and their true heirs are the churches they tried to crush.
by Arnold Joseph Toynbee 1987
4.11
543 ratings
Decline and Fall
by John Michael Greer • 2014
Empires are wealth pumps. America's runs on oil, nearly dry. The collapse cycle is inevitable.
4.29
156
Decline and Fall Summary
Decline and Fall 88%
Empires are wealth pumps. America's runs on oil, nearly dry. The collapse cycle is inevitable.
by John Michael Greer 2014
4.29
156 ratings
Civilization and Capitalism 15th–18th Century, Vol. 3
by Fernand Braudel • 1979
Capitalism thrives by avoiding the market. How monopolies, not competition, built the modern world.
4.44
498
Civilization and Capitalism 15th–18th Century, Vol. 3 Summary
Civilization and Capitalism 15th–18th Century, Vol. 3 88%
Capitalism thrives by avoiding the market. How monopolies, not competition, built the modern world.
by Fernand Braudel 1979
4.44
498 ratings
Blood in the Streets
by James Dale Davidson • 1987
When empires decline, money dies. Where it goes, and the playbook for riding the wreckage.
3.86
37
Blood in the Streets Summary
Blood in the Streets 88%
When empires decline, money dies. Where it goes, and the playbook for riding the wreckage.
by James Dale Davidson 1987
3.86
37 ratings
The Fate of Empires and Search for Survival
by John Bagot Glubb • 1978
Ten generations: energy, conquest, affluence, decay. The West is running out of time.
4.21
751
The Fate of Empires and Search for Survival Summary
The Fate of Empires and Search for Survival 88%
Ten generations: energy, conquest, affluence, decay. The West is running out of time.
by John Bagot Glubb 1978
4.21
751 ratings
The Decline of the West
by Oswald Spengler • 1918
History does not climb a ladder. It traces a life cycle, and the West has reached winter.
4.06
2k+
The Decline of the West Summary
The Decline of the West 88%
History does not climb a ladder. It traces a life cycle, and the West has reached winter.
by Oswald Spengler 1918
4.06
2k+ ratings
The Dao of Capital
by Mark Spitznagel • 2013
Central banks warp markets. The indirect strategy that profits when the distortions break.
3.87
1k+
The Dao of Capital Summary
The Dao of Capital 88%
Central banks warp markets. The indirect strategy that profits when the distortions break.
by Mark Spitznagel 2013
3.87
1k+ ratings
The Clock Of The Long Now
by Stewart Brand • 1999
In an age of acceleration, the most subversive object is a clock that barely moves.
4.10
809
The Clock Of The Long Now Summary
The Clock Of The Long Now 88%
In an age of acceleration, the most subversive object is a clock that barely moves.
by Stewart Brand 1999
4.10
809 ratings
Escape from Rome
by Walter Scheidel • 2019
China kept rebuilding its empire. Europe never rebuilt Rome. That difference changed everything.
4.05
482
Escape from Rome Summary
Escape from Rome 88%
China kept rebuilding its empire. Europe never rebuilt Rome. That difference changed everything.
by Walter Scheidel 2019
4.05
482 ratings
How Countries Go Broke
by Ray Dalio • 2025
The pattern that broke Rome, imperial China, and the Dutch empire is now visible in Washington.
4.03
2k+
How Countries Go Broke Summary
How Countries Go Broke 88%
The pattern that broke Rome, imperial China, and the Dutch empire is now visible in Washington.
by Ray Dalio 2025
4.03
2k+ ratings
Why Most Things Fail
by Paul Ormerod • 2005
Business and biology share one extinction curve. Smarter planning barely bends it.
3.48
391
Why Most Things Fail Summary
Why Most Things Fail 88%
Business and biology share one extinction curve. Smarter planning barely bends it.
by Paul Ormerod 2005
3.48
391 ratings
War and Peace and War
by Peter Turchin • 2005
Empires aren't conquered. They dissolve from within, on a schedule that mathematics can model.
4.17
928
War and Peace and War Summary
War and Peace and War 88%
Empires aren't conquered. They dissolve from within, on a schedule that mathematics can model.
by Peter Turchin 2005
4.17
928 ratings
The New Leviathans
by John Gray • 2023
Humans kill for meaning, not markets. Liberalism forgot this. The leviathans remembered.
3.42
980
The New Leviathans Summary
The New Leviathans 88%
Humans kill for meaning, not markets. Liberalism forgot this. The leviathans remembered.
by John Gray 2023
3.42
980 ratings
Debunking Economics
by Steve Keen • 2001
A handful of logical mistakes in economic theory made the Great Recession invisible to the experts.
4.04
820
Debunking Economics Summary
Debunking Economics 88%
A handful of logical mistakes in economic theory made the Great Recession invisible to the experts.
by Steve Keen 2001
4.04
820 ratings
The Collapse of Complex Societies
by Joseph A. Tainter • 1988
Society's greatest threat isn't invasion; it's the rising cost of keeping itself organized.
4.15
2k+
The Collapse of Complex Societies Summary
The Collapse of Complex Societies 88%
Society's greatest threat isn't invasion; it's the rising cost of keeping itself organized.
by Joseph A. Tainter 1988
4.15
2k+ ratings
The Austrian Theory of the Trade Cycle and Other Essays
by Richard M. Ebeling • 1978
Behind every boom is a central bank forcing rates too low. The bust is the cure, not the illness.
4.16
602
The Austrian Theory of the Trade Cycle and Other Essays Summary
The Austrian Theory of the Trade Cycle and Other Essays 88%
Behind every boom is a central bank forcing rates too low. The bust is the cure, not the illness.
by Richard M. Ebeling 1978
4.16
602 ratings
Why the West Rules—for Now
by Ian Morris • 2010
Western rule is a geographical accident. One 15,000-year index shows why, and predicts the handoff.
4.11
6k+
Why the West Rules—for Now Summary
Why the West Rules—for Now 88%
Western rule is a geographical accident. One 15,000-year index shows why, and predicts the handoff.
by Ian Morris 2010
4.11
6k+ ratings
A Short History of the World
by Christopher Lascelles • 2011
Thirteen billion years in one short book: why empires fall, ideas spread, and everything connects.
3.86
2k+
A Short History of the World Summary
A Short History of the World 88%
Thirteen billion years in one short book: why empires fall, ideas spread, and everything connects.
by Christopher Lascelles 2011
3.86
2k+ ratings
Ubiquity
by Mark Buchanan • 2000
One grain of sand explains why markets crash, species vanish, and empires fall.
3.90
716
Ubiquity Summary
Ubiquity 88%
One grain of sand explains why markets crash, species vanish, and empires fall.
by Mark Buchanan 2000
3.90
716 ratings
The Next 100 Years
by George Friedman • 2008
America doesn't need to win wars, just prevent rivals from rising. The next battlefield is orbital.
3.67
11k+
The Next 100 Years Summary
The Next 100 Years 88%
America doesn't need to win wars, just prevent rivals from rising. The next battlefield is orbital.
by George Friedman 2008
3.67
11k+ ratings
How Clients Buy
by Tom McMakin • 2018
The crashes, wars, and booms of the last century were not accidents: they were managed.
3.93
379
How Clients Buy Summary
How Clients Buy 88%
The crashes, wars, and booms of the last century were not accidents: they were managed.
by Tom McMakin 2018
3.93
379 ratings
The Rise and Fall of American Growth
by Robert J. Gordon • 2016
Indoor plumbing, electricity, and the car transformed daily life in ways the internet never will.
4.18
2k+
The Rise and Fall of American Growth Summary
The Rise and Fall of American Growth 88%
Indoor plumbing, electricity, and the car transformed daily life in ways the internet never will.
by Robert J. Gordon 2016
4.18
2k+ ratings
Barbarians to Bureaucrats
by Lawrence M. Miller • 1989
Seven leadership personalities drive every company from vision to decay. The pattern can be broken.
4.22
204
Barbarians to Bureaucrats Summary
Barbarians to Bureaucrats 88%
Seven leadership personalities drive every company from vision to decay. The pattern can be broken.
by Lawrence M. Miller 1989
4.22
204 ratings
The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers
by Paul Kennedy • 1987
The great powers didn't fail on the battlefield. They lost in the factory first.
4.14
6k+
The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers Summary
The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers 88%
The great powers didn't fail on the battlefield. They lost in the factory first.
by Paul Kennedy 1987
4.14
6k+ ratings
The 10 Rules of Successful Nations
by Ruchir Sharma • 2020
The real reason booms end: ten quantifiable signals from fifty years of cross-country data.
4.01
478
The 10 Rules of Successful Nations Summary
The 10 Rules of Successful Nations 87%
The real reason booms end: ten quantifiable signals from fifty years of cross-country data.
by Ruchir Sharma 2020
4.01
478 ratings
Brazil Is the New America
by James Dale Davidson • 2012
The math of debt, energy, and demography says the American era ends and Brazil's begins.
3.17
36
Brazil Is the New America Summary
Brazil Is the New America 87%
The math of debt, energy, and demography says the American era ends and Brazil's begins.
by James Dale Davidson 2012
3.17
36 ratings
Bobler, bullshit og børsfest
by Lars Tvede • 2020
Crashes come every decade. The cycle rules, psychology, and strategies for buying when others flee.
3.71
329
Bobler, bullshit og børsfest Summary
Bobler, bullshit og børsfest 87%
Crashes come every decade. The cycle rules, psychology, and strategies for buying when others flee.
by Lars Tvede 2020
3.71
329 ratings
Can "It" Happen Again?
by Hyman P. Minsky • 1982
Stability plants the seeds of crisis: why capitalism's calmest moments are its most dangerous.
4.31
52
Can "It" Happen Again? Summary
Can "It" Happen Again? 87%
Stability plants the seeds of crisis: why capitalism's calmest moments are its most dangerous.
by Hyman P. Minsky 1982
4.31
52 ratings
The Power in the Land
by Fred Harrison • 1983
An 18-year land cycle, not interest rates, drives recessions. Economics missed it entirely.
4.13
15
The Power in the Land Summary
The Power in the Land 87%
An 18-year land cycle, not interest rates, drives recessions. Economics missed it entirely.
by Fred Harrison 1983
4.13
15 ratings
The Climate of History in a Planetary Age
by Dipesh Chakrabarty • 2021
All our political concepts assume a stable planet. The Anthropocene reveals it never was.
3.68
142
The Climate of History in a Planetary Age Summary
The Climate of History in a Planetary Age 87%
All our political concepts assume a stable planet. The Anthropocene reveals it never was.
by Dipesh Chakrabarty 2021
3.68
142 ratings
Civilization
by Niall Ferguson • 2011
Five hundred years of Western rule rested on six innovations. The rest have now caught up.
3.86
10k+
Civilization Summary
Civilization 87%
Five hundred years of Western rule rested on six innovations. The rest have now caught up.
by Niall Ferguson 2011
3.86
10k+ ratings
General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money
by John Maynard Keynes • 1935
Mass unemployment can be a stable trap. Recovery requires investment, not wage cuts or patience.
3.85
6k+
General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money Summary
General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money 87%
Mass unemployment can be a stable trap. Recovery requires investment, not wage cuts or patience.
by John Maynard Keynes 1935
3.85
6k+ ratings
In the Long Run
by Jonathan White • 2024
The future made democracy possible. Calculated, secret, and algorithmic futures are dismantling it.
3.78
85
In the Long Run Summary
In the Long Run 87%
The future made democracy possible. Calculated, secret, and algorithmic futures are dismantling it.
by Jonathan White 2024
3.78
85 ratings
Democracy
by Hans-Hermann Hoppe • 2001
A king owns the country and thinks in decades. Elected leaders just need four years.
4.13
3k+
Democracy Summary
Democracy 87%
A king owns the country and thinks in decades. Elected leaders just need four years.
by Hans-Hermann Hoppe 2001
4.13
3k+ ratings
Invention and Innovation
by Vaclav Smil • 2023
Moore's Law is an outlier. Everywhere else, innovation crawls, stumbles, or backfires.
3.84
1k+
Invention and Innovation Summary
Invention and Innovation 87%
Moore's Law is an outlier. Everywhere else, innovation crawls, stumbles, or backfires.
by Vaclav Smil 2023
3.84
1k+ ratings
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