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The Precipice
by Toby Ord • 2020
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
3.94
5k+
The Precipice Summary
The Precipice 88%
The next hundred years will decide if humanity colonizes the galaxy or destroys itself trying.
by Toby Ord 2020
3.94
5k+ ratings
Drift into Failure
by Sidney Dekker • 2011
Hunting the broken part misses real failure: slow, rational erosion inside everyday decisions.
4.01
343
Drift into Failure Summary
Drift into Failure 88%
Hunting the broken part misses real failure: slow, rational erosion inside everyday decisions.
by Sidney Dekker 2011
4.01
343 ratings
One Nation Under Therapy
by Christina Hoff Sommers • 2005
Therapy culture taught Americans to be fragile. Resilience and moral clarity are the antidote.
3.60
376
One Nation Under Therapy Summary
One Nation Under Therapy 87%
Therapy culture taught Americans to be fragile. Resilience and moral clarity are the antidote.
by Christina Hoff Sommers 2005
3.60
376 ratings
Free-Range Kids
by Lenore Skenazy • 2009
Crime is down, but children's freedom has collapsed. The numbers that let parents finally exhale.
3.88
8k+
Free-Range Kids Summary
Free-Range Kids 87%
Crime is down, but children's freedom has collapsed. The numbers that let parents finally exhale.
by Lenore Skenazy 2009
3.88
8k+ ratings
Antifragile
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2012
Predicting catastrophe is impossible. Designing a life that profits from chaos is not.
4.10
58k+
Antifragile Summary
Antifragile 87%
Predicting catastrophe is impossible. Designing a life that profits from chaos is not.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2012
4.10
58k+ ratings
The Failure of Risk Management
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2009
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
3.95
413
The Failure of Risk Management Summary
The Failure of Risk Management 87%
Standard risk management makes decisions worse than guessing. The fix is simpler than you think.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2009
3.95
413 ratings
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
by Eliezer Yudkowsky • 2025
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
3.92
7k+
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies Summary
If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 87%
Superhuman AI kills without malice. Its goals turn our atoms into raw material, not our future.
by Eliezer Yudkowsky 2025
3.92
7k+ ratings
An Economist Walks into a Brothel
by Allison Schrager • 2019
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
3.56
2k+
An Economist Walks into a Brothel Summary
An Economist Walks into a Brothel 87%
An economist sizes up risk in brothels, poker rooms, and monster waves, then hands us the rules.
by Allison Schrager 2019
3.56
2k+ ratings
Boom!
by Kevin Frieberg • 2007
You don't need a better boss or company. Seven shifts that make any job matter.
3.75
67
Boom! Summary
Boom! 87%
You don't need a better boss or company. Seven shifts that make any job matter.
by Kevin Frieberg 2007
3.75
67 ratings
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2008
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
4.17
287
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan Summary
Fooled By Randomness & The Black Swan 87%
Stability is an illusion, prediction is a scam: the architecture of a life that needs the chaos.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2008
4.17
287 ratings
Ergodicity
by Luca Dellanna • 2020
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
4.05
314
Ergodicity Summary
Ergodicity 87%
Why a bet that works for a hundred people destroys the one who repeats it.
by Luca Dellanna 2020
4.05
314 ratings
What We Owe The Future
by William MacAskill • 2022
Most humans who will ever live aren't born yet. Their fate belongs to this century.
3.81
7k+
What We Owe The Future Summary
What We Owe The Future 87%
Most humans who will ever live aren't born yet. Their fate belongs to this century.
by William MacAskill 2022
3.81
7k+ ratings
What's the Worst That Could Happen?
by Andrew Leigh • 2021
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
3.81
53
What's the Worst That Could Happen? Summary
What's the Worst That Could Happen? 87%
A one in six chance of extinction this century. The cause is not technology but politics.
by Andrew Leigh 2021
3.81
53 ratings
Risk Intelligence
by Dylan Evans • 2012
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
3.71
256
Risk Intelligence Summary
Risk Intelligence 87%
Your probability estimates are worse than you think. It's trainable, and the payoff is real.
by Dylan Evans 2012
3.71
256 ratings
Our Final Invention
by James Barrat • 2013
An intelligence greater than human will not hate us; it simply won't need us.
3.72
4k+
Our Final Invention Summary
Our Final Invention 87%
An intelligence greater than human will not hate us; it simply won't need us.
by James Barrat 2013
3.72
4k+ ratings
On the Edge
by Nate Silver • 2024
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
3.66
6k+
On the Edge Summary
On the Edge 87%
One tribe calculates risk; one avoids it. This divide now shapes American life more than politics.
by Nate Silver 2024
3.66
6k+ ratings
The Dichotomy of Leadership
by Jocko Willink • 2018
Management books tell you what to do, not when to stop. Ten balancing acts.
4.37
16k+
The Dichotomy of Leadership Summary
The Dichotomy of Leadership 87%
Management books tell you what to do, not when to stop. Ten balancing acts.
by Jocko Willink 2018
4.37
16k+ ratings
The Gray Rhino
by Michele Wucker • 2016
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
3.57
391
The Gray Rhino Summary
The Gray Rhino 87%
Obvious, predictable threats destroy more than surprises do, and we ignore them anyway.
by Michele Wucker 2016
3.57
391 ratings
Skin in the Game
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2018
Your opinion only counts if you have something to lose. Without that, expertise is theater.
3.91
32k+
Skin in the Game Summary
Skin in the Game 87%
Your opinion only counts if you have something to lose. Without that, expertise is theater.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2018
3.91
32k+ ratings
Risk
by Stanley McChrystal • 2021
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
3.64
799
Risk Summary
Risk 86%
In 1983, one man's doubt stopped a nuclear war. The lesson for your organization's risk systems.
by Stanley McChrystal 2021
3.64
799 ratings
8 Setbacks That Can Make a Child a Success
by Michelle Icard • 2023
Your child failed. Your next move can make it worse or make it fuel.
4.10
180
8 Setbacks That Can Make a Child a Success Summary
8 Setbacks That Can Make a Child a Success 86%
Your child failed. Your next move can make it worse or make it fuel.
by Michelle Icard 2023
4.10
180 ratings
What Do You Care What Other People Think?
by Richard P. Feynman • 1988
A glass of ice water and an O-ring: how Feynman exposed NASA's fatal blind spot.
4.19
31k+
What Do You Care What Other People Think? Summary
What Do You Care What Other People Think? 86%
A glass of ice water and an O-ring: how Feynman exposed NASA's fatal blind spot.
by Richard P. Feynman 1988
4.19
31k+ ratings
The Challenger Launch Decision
by Diane Vaughan • 1997
The chain of small failures that precedes every disaster, and where to break it.
4.08
459
The Challenger Launch Decision Summary
The Challenger Launch Decision 86%
The chain of small failures that precedes every disaster, and where to break it.
by Diane Vaughan 1997
4.08
459 ratings
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t
by Carsten Busch • 2019
When safety becomes a number, you learn to manage the number, not the risk.
3.95
20
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t Summary
If You Can’t Measure It… Maybe You Shouldn’t 86%
When safety becomes a number, you learn to manage the number, not the risk.
by Carsten Busch 2019
3.95
20 ratings
Against the Gods
by Peter L. Bernstein • 1996
The modern world began when humans stopped blaming the gods and started calculating the odds.
3.95
15k+
Against the Gods Summary
Against the Gods 86%
The modern world began when humans stopped blaming the gods and started calculating the odds.
by Peter L. Bernstein 1996
3.95
15k+ ratings
Incerto 4-Book Bundle
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2011
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
4.57
497
Incerto 4-Book Bundle Summary
Incerto 4-Book Bundle 86%
Some things get stronger from disorder. Most of what we build gets this backward.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2011
4.57
497 ratings
Chancing It
by Robert Matthews • 2017
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
3.81
227
Chancing It Summary
Chancing It 86%
How a formula from 17th-century gambling can tell you what any decision is worth.
by Robert Matthews 2017
3.81
227 ratings
Superintelligence
by Nick Bostrom • 2014
A superhuman intelligence won't hate us. It will just want our atoms.
3.85
21k+
Superintelligence Summary
Superintelligence 86%
A superhuman intelligence won't hate us. It will just want our atoms.
by Nick Bostrom 2014
3.85
21k+ ratings
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk
by Douglas W. Hubbard • 2016
Cybersecurity swears its risks defy measurement. A quantitative toolkit that says otherwise.
4.06
381
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk Summary
How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk 86%
Cybersecurity swears its risks defy measurement. A quantitative toolkit that says otherwise.
by Douglas W. Hubbard 2016
4.06
381 ratings
Upstream
by Dan Heath • 2020
Stop putting out fires: a method for solving problems before they land on your desk.
4.14
7k+
Upstream Summary
Upstream 86%
Stop putting out fires: a method for solving problems before they land on your desk.
by Dan Heath 2020
4.14
7k+ ratings
The Strategy Paradox
by Michael E. Raynor • 2007
The strategies that win big also lose big. The escape: a portfolio of options.
3.89
300
The Strategy Paradox Summary
The Strategy Paradox 86%
The strategies that win big also lose big. The escape: a portfolio of options.
by Michael E. Raynor 2007
3.89
300 ratings
Too Big to Fail
by Gary H. Stern • 2004
Policymakers always blink when big banks teeter. The fix borrows from how Volcker broke inflation.
3.60
25
Too Big to Fail Summary
Too Big to Fail 86%
Policymakers always blink when big banks teeter. The fix borrows from how Volcker broke inflation.
by Gary H. Stern 2004
3.60
25 ratings
The Black Swan
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb • 2007
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
3.96
123k+
The Black Swan Summary
The Black Swan 86%
The bell curve is a map that fails exactly where the terrain gets dangerous.
by Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2007
3.96
123k+ ratings
A Demon of Our Own Design
by Richard Bookstaber • 2007
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
3.92
1k+
A Demon of Our Own Design Summary
A Demon of Our Own Design 86%
Why safer economies create more volatile markets: a hidden design flaw that turns progress to peril.
by Richard Bookstaber 2007
3.92
1k+ ratings
The Oz Principle
by Craig Hickman • 1994
When things go wrong, the fix is a choice you make, not a consequence you fear.
3.58
3k+
The Oz Principle Summary
The Oz Principle 86%
When things go wrong, the fix is a choice you make, not a consequence you fear.
by Craig Hickman 1994
3.58
3k+ ratings
Maps of Meaning
by Jordan B. Peterson • 1999
Meaning demands sacrifice and truth. The easy path leads nowhere. Here is what works instead.
4.03
7k+
Maps of Meaning Summary
Maps of Meaning 86%
Meaning demands sacrifice and truth. The easy path leads nowhere. Here is what works instead.
by Jordan B. Peterson 1999
4.03
7k+ ratings
Stepping Up
by John B. Izzo • 2011
How taking full ownership, not blaming, rewires your influence in any room you walk into.
3.83
353
Stepping Up Summary
Stepping Up 86%
How taking full ownership, not blaming, rewires your influence in any room you walk into.
by John B. Izzo 2011
3.83
353 ratings
The Yellow Pad
by Robert E. Rubin • 2023
A yellow pad and honest odds: the method that steered Goldman Sachs and the White House.
3.70
268
The Yellow Pad Summary
The Yellow Pad 86%
A yellow pad and honest odds: the method that steered Goldman Sachs and the White House.
by Robert E. Rubin 2023
3.70
268 ratings
Risk
by Daniel Gardner • 2008
Motorcycle crashes kill more than terrorists. Your brain's shortcuts make you fear the wrong one.
3.96
6k+
Risk Summary
Risk 86%
Motorcycle crashes kill more than terrorists. Your brain's shortcuts make you fear the wrong one.
by Daniel Gardner 2008
3.96
6k+ ratings
Chaos Kings
by Scott Patterson • 2023
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
3.75
1k+
Chaos Kings Summary
Chaos Kings 86%
They lose money every day on purpose, because one market crash will repay everything.
by Scott Patterson 2023
3.75
1k+ ratings
Poke the Box
by Seth Godin • 2011
Stop waiting for instructions. Initiative is now the only career skill that cannot be automated.
3.77
15k+
Poke the Box Summary
Poke the Box 86%
Stop waiting for instructions. Initiative is now the only career skill that cannot be automated.
by Seth Godin 2011
3.77
15k+ ratings
The Self-Driven Child
by William Stixrud • 2018
Control is the key to a child's well-being, not pressure. How to give it without chaos.
4.33
8k+
The Self-Driven Child Summary
The Self-Driven Child 86%
Control is the key to a child's well-being, not pressure. How to give it without chaos.
by William Stixrud 2018
4.33
8k+ ratings
The Coming Wave
by Mustafa Suleyman • 2023
AI and biotech are coming. They can't be stopped. They can't be contained. Catastrophe or dystopia?
3.80
15k+
The Coming Wave Summary
The Coming Wave 86%
AI and biotech are coming. They can't be stopped. They can't be contained. Catastrophe or dystopia?
by Mustafa Suleyman 2023
3.80
15k+ ratings
The Norm Chronicles
by Michael Blastland • 2014
Why we fear plane crashes but not burgers: the stories and numbers behind your worst instincts.
3.59
564
The Norm Chronicles Summary
The Norm Chronicles 86%
Why we fear plane crashes but not burgers: the stories and numbers behind your worst instincts.
by Michael Blastland 2014
3.59
564 ratings
Falter
by Bill McKibben • 2019
Engineers want to redesign humans as the climate exit. The two crises share a cause.
4.00
2k+
Falter Summary
Falter 86%
Engineers want to redesign humans as the climate exit. The two crises share a cause.
by Bill McKibben 2019
4.00
2k+ ratings
Managing the Unexpected
by Karl E. Weick • 2001
The safest organizations stay safe by acting like disaster is always one small oversight away.
3.78
594
Managing the Unexpected Summary
Managing the Unexpected 86%
The safest organizations stay safe by acting like disaster is always one small oversight away.
by Karl E. Weick 2001
3.78
594 ratings
Normal Accidents
by Charles Perrow • 1984
The safer we try to make a system, the more unknowable its failure modes become.
4.05
704
Normal Accidents Summary
Normal Accidents 86%
The safer we try to make a system, the more unknowable its failure modes become.
by Charles Perrow 1984
4.05
704 ratings
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night
by John Brockman • 2014
Cognitive traps. Fragile networks. Captured watchdogs. The real fears of a hundred scientists.
3.45
1k+
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night Summary
What Should We Be Worried About? Real Scenarios That Keep Scientists Up at Night 86%
Cognitive traps. Fragile networks. Captured watchdogs. The real fears of a hundred scientists.
by John Brockman 2014
3.45
1k+ ratings
The Flaw of Averages
by Sam L. Savage • 2009
A single average can sink your plan. The missing skill: thinking in distributions.
3.86
574
The Flaw of Averages Summary
The Flaw of Averages 86%
A single average can sink your plan. The missing skill: thinking in distributions.
by Sam L. Savage 2009
3.86
574 ratings
Be Fearless
by Jean Case • 2019
Start with what you have, treat risk like research, and fail forward: the method for breakthroughs.
3.54
981
Be Fearless Summary
Be Fearless 86%
Start with what you have, treat risk like research, and fail forward: the method for breakthroughs.
by Jean Case 2019
3.54
981 ratings
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